New York's Betting Ad Bill Redefines Betting to Include Loot Boxes and Prediction Markets

New York's Senate unanimously passed S10092, the "No Betting Ads For Kids Act," sending it to the Assembly by a 60-0 vote. The bill bars social media platforms from showing betting ads to minors and requires platforms to affirmatively verify that a user isn't a minor before serving such ads. Governor Kathy Hochul, who has pushed underage-betting restrictions for months, is widely expected to sign it if the Assembly advances the bill.

The headline goal — don't advertise betting to kids — isn't controversial, and several states including Massachusetts, Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana, and Missouri already have similar restrictions. What sets New York apart is two specific design choices: an unusually broad definition of betting, and a duty placed on platforms rather than advertisers.

A Far Broader Definition of Betting

Most state ad restrictions cover sportsbooks, online wagering venues, and lotteries. S10092 goes further, also covering online sweepstakes gaming, prediction markets, and what it calls "online gaming-related wagering" — defined as exchanging real money for random, chance-based rewards, including loot boxes and skin trading.

In practice, this means the bill treats loot box mechanics in popular games the same way it treats sportsbook ads, and treats prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket the same way it treats DraftKings and FanDuel. For platforms like Meta, X, TikTok, and YouTube, that significantly expands the category of advertisers that now require age-gating in New York.

The Harder Part: An Affirmative Verification Duty

Unlike most state laws, which restrict the advertiser from targeting minors, S10092 puts the obligation on the platform itself to "reasonably determine" a user isn't a minor before showing any betting-related ad. That's a meaningful shift — self-reported age, the current standard on most platforms, likely won't satisfy the requirement, pushing platforms toward more rigorous age verification for an entire category of ad inventory in New York.

A Legislative Complement to the Valve Lawsuit

The bill pairs naturally with Attorney General Letitia James's February 2026 lawsuit against Valve, which alleges that loot boxes in Counter-Strike 2 and other titles constitute unlawful wagering under New York law. If S10092 becomes law, it gives James's case legislative backing — a clearer statutory basis for arguing that loot boxes qualify as wagering, separate from the harder argument over decades-old statutes that didn't anticipate virtual-item economies.

Implications for Prediction Markets

Including prediction markets in the same category as sportsbooks and loot boxes builds on a consumer alert James issued in December 2025 warning New Yorkers about Kalshi and Polymarket. New York hasn't sued either platform directly, but the bill gives statutory weight to the argument that prediction markets function as wagering under state law — a narrower, more defensible position than an outright operating ban, since it regulates advertising rather than the product itself. That distinction matters because Kalshi has repeatedly won federal injunctions against state bans on preemption grounds; an advertising-focused consumer protection law is a harder target to challenge on those terms.